Tre Penne v Domagnano: the model read
Tre Penne meet Domagnano in the Campionato 3rd place. The model makes Tre Penne the most likely outcome at 55%, with the full read 55% TRE, 25% draw, 20% DOM.
Tre Penne rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1707 to 1477. Recent form leans Tre Penne, 80% against 43%. Attacking output favors Tre Penne on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 51%, over 2.5 goals around 77%. Draw no bet leans Tre Penne at 74%; double chance reads Tre Penne or draw 80%, Domagnano or draw 45%.
Tre Penne arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Domagnano, L 0-1 v La Fiorita, D 1-1 @ La Fiorita, D 0-0 @ Cosmos.
Domagnano are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Tre Penne, W 2-1 v Virtus, L 1-2 @ Virtus, W 3-1 @ Folgore.
Tre Penne hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Tre Penne 3-1 Domagnano.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
