Benevento v Arezzo: the model read
Benevento meet Arezzo in the Serie C - Supercoppa Lega Finals supercoppa lega finals - 2. The model makes Benevento the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% BEN, 31% draw, 30% ARE.
Benevento rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1719 to 1592. Recent form leans Benevento, 80% against 63%. Attacking output favors Benevento on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 44%. Draw no bet leans Benevento at 57%; double chance reads Benevento or draw 70%, Arezzo or draw 60%.
Benevento arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Ostia Mare, W 4-1 @ Vicenza Virtus, W 1-0 v Arezzo, D 2-2 v Audace Cerignola.
Arezzo are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Atalanta, D 1-1 v Folgore Caratese, W 3-1 @ Napoli, L 0-1 @ Benevento.
Benevento hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Benevento 1-0 Arezzo.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
