Once Caldas v Junior: the model read
Once Caldas meet Junior in the Primera A apertura - quarter-finals at Estadio Palogrande, Manizales. The model makes Once Caldas the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% ONC, 31% draw, 33% JUN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 55%. Attacking output favors Once Caldas on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 54%, over 2.5 goals around 50%. Draw no bet leans Once Caldas at 53%; double chance reads Once Caldas or draw 67%, Junior or draw 63%.
Once Caldas arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Envigado, D 2-2 @ Junior, L 0-1 v Junior, W 1-0 v Atletico Nacional.
Junior are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Barranquilla, L 0-1 @ Atletico Nacional, W 3-0 v Atletico Nacional, L 1-4 @ Palmeiras.
Junior hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Junior 2-2 Once Caldas.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
