Where the market is wrong on Magni v Vikingur Olafsiik
Magni meet Vikingur Olafsiik in the 2. Deild regular season - 19.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 50%. Attacking output favors Magni on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 82%, over 2.5 goals around 85%. Draw no bet leans Vikingur Olafsiik at 51%; double chance reads Magni or draw 63%, Vikingur Olafsiik or draw 65%.
Magni arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Vikingur Olafsiik, D 1-1 @ Dalvík / Reynir, W 3-0 v Kormákur / Hvöt, L 0-1 @ Hvíti riddarinn.
Vikingur Olafsiik are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Magni, W 2-1 v Thróttur Vogar, L 1-4 @ Kári, W 2-0 v Selfoss.
The market prices MAG at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
