Kormákur / Hvöt v Selfoss: the model read
Kormákur / Hvöt meet Selfoss in the 2. Deild regular season - 14 at Blonduosvollur, Blonduos. The model makes Selfoss the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 35% KOR, 26% draw, 39% SEL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Selfoss, 63% against 53%. Attacking output favors Selfoss on expected goals, 2.4 to 2.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 91%, over 2.5 goals around 95%. Draw no bet leans Selfoss at 53%; double chance reads Kormákur / Hvöt or draw 61%, Selfoss or draw 65%.
Kormákur / Hvöt arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 2-5 v Selfoss, W 3-1 v Dalvík / Reynir, D 0-0 v Vikingur Olafsiik, D 1-1 @ Fjolnir.
Selfoss are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 13 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 5-2 @ Kormákur / Hvöt, W 1-0 @ Fjardabyggd / Leiknir, D 2-2 v Hvíti riddarinn, W 3-2 @ KFG.
Selfoss hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kormákur / Hvöt 2-5 Selfoss.
The market prices KOR at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
