Juvenes / Dogana v Virtus: the model read
Juvenes / Dogana meet Virtus in the Campionato quarter-finals at San Marino Stadium, Serravalle. The model makes Virtus the most likely outcome at 49%, with the full read 23% JUV, 28% draw, 49% VIR.
Virtus rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1408. Recent form leans Virtus, 65% against 38%. Attacking output favors Virtus on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 60%. Draw no bet leans Virtus at 68%; double chance reads Juvenes / Dogana or draw 51%, Virtus or draw 77%.
Juvenes / Dogana arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Virtus, D 0-0 @ Virtus, D 1-1 v Libertas, W 5-2 v Murata.
Virtus are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Dila, L 1-3 @ Dila, L 2-3 v Vardar Skopje, W 2-1 v La Fiorita.
Virtus hold the recent head-to-head, 9 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Juvenes / Dogana 0-2 Virtus.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
