São Gonçalo EC RJ v Audax Rio: the model read
São Gonçalo EC RJ meet Audax Rio in the Carioca A2 1st phase - 11. The model makes São Gonçalo EC RJ the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% SÃO, 34% draw, 26% AUD.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans São Gonçalo EC RJ, 48% against 30%. Attacking output favors São Gonçalo EC RJ on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 25%, over 2.5 goals around 21%. Draw no bet leans São Gonçalo EC RJ at 61%; double chance reads São Gonçalo EC RJ or draw 74%, Audax Rio or draw 60%.
São Gonçalo EC RJ arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Volta Redonda, W 2-1 v Volta Redonda, W 2-1 v Audax Rio, W 3-0 @ Serrano RJ.
Audax Rio are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ São Gonçalo EC RJ, W 2-0 v Resende, L 0-1 @ CFRJ / Maricá, L 0-1 v Pérolas Negras.
São Gonçalo EC RJ hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: São Gonçalo EC RJ 2-1 Audax Rio.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
