USM Alger v CR Belouizdad: the model read
USM Alger meet CR Belouizdad in the Coupe Nationale final at Nelson Mandela Stadium, Baraki. The model makes CR Belouizdad the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 28% USM, 31% draw, 40% CR .
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans CR Belouizdad, 65% against 50%. Attacking output favors CR Belouizdad on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 41%, over 2.5 goals around 39%. Draw no bet leans CR Belouizdad at 59%; double chance reads USM Alger or draw 60%, CR Belouizdad or draw 72%.
USM Alger arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ MC Oran, D 2-2 @ Ben Aknoun, D 1-1 v CR Belouizdad, L 0-1 @ MB Rouisset.
CR Belouizdad are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ JS Kabylie, D 1-1 @ USM Alger, W 3-1 v Ben Aknoun, W 3-1 v MC Oran.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
