Nashville SC v Tigres UANL: the model read
Nashville SC meet Tigres UANL in the CONCACAF Champions League semi-finals at Geodis Park, Nashville. The model makes Nashville SC the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 39% NAS, 33% draw, 28% TIG.
The baseline ratings are close, 1627 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Nashville SC, 68% against 55%. Attacking output favors Tigres UANL on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 35%, over 2.5 goals around 30%. Draw no bet leans Nashville SC at 58%; double chance reads Nashville SC or draw 72%, Tigres UANL or draw 61%.
Nashville SC arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Orlando City SC, W 1-0 v CF Montreal, W 1-0 v Atlanta United FC, W 2-1 v New York City FC.
Tigres UANL are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Atletico San Luis, L 1-3 @ Club Tijuana, D 0-0 @ Toluca, L 0-2 @ Guadalajara Chivas.
Tigres UANL hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Tigres UANL 1-0 Nashville SC.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
