Sarmiento Junin v Boca Juniors: the model read
Sarmiento Junin meet Boca Juniors in the Copa Argentina round of 32 at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario. The model makes Boca Juniors the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 23% SAR, 32% draw, 44% BOC.
Boca Juniors rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1454. Recent form leans Boca Juniors, 65% against 40%. Attacking output favors Boca Juniors on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 27%, over 2.5 goals around 30%. Draw no bet leans Boca Juniors at 66%; double chance reads Sarmiento Junin or draw 56%, Boca Juniors or draw 77%.
Sarmiento Junin arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Argentinos JRS, L 0-2 v Boca Juniors, L 0-4 @ Belgrano Cordoba, W 1-0 v Tigre.
Boca Juniors are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Deportivo Riestra, W 1-0 v O'Higgins, W 2-0 @ Sarmiento Junin, W 1-0 v Atletico Paranaense.
Boca Juniors hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sarmiento Junin 0-2 Boca Juniors.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
