Progreso v Wanderers: the model read
Progreso meet Wanderers in the Primera División - Apertura apertura - 12 at Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo. The model makes Wanderers the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 27% PRO, 32% draw, 41% WAN.
Wanderers rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1546 to 1400. Recent form leans Wanderers, 55% against 30%. Attacking output favors Wanderers on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 37%, over 2.5 goals around 35%. Draw no bet leans Wanderers at 60%; double chance reads Progreso or draw 59%, Wanderers or draw 73%.
Progreso arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Deportivo Maldonado, L 0-2 @ Wanderers, L 1-2 v Albion FC, W 2-1 @ Danubio.
Wanderers are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Club Nacional, W 2-0 v Progreso, D 0-0 v Danubio, W 5-2 @ Juventud.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Wanderers 2-0 Progreso.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
