Netherlands v Sweden: the model read
Netherlands meet Sweden in the World Cup group stage - 2 at NRG Stadium, Houston.
Netherlands rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1512. Recent form leans Netherlands, 75% against 50%. Attacking output favors Netherlands on expected goals, 2.6 to 1.9 per match.
Netherlands arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Morocco, W 3-1 @ Tunisia, W 5-1 v Sweden, D 2-2 v Japan.
Sweden are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 9 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ France, D 1-1 @ Japan, L 1-5 @ Netherlands, W 5-1 v Tunisia.
Netherlands hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Netherlands 5-1 Sweden.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
