Tombense v Vitória ES: the model read
Tombense meet Vitória ES in the Serie D regular season - 10 at Estadio Antonio Guimaraes de Almeida, Tombos.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Vitória ES, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors Vitória ES on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Tombense arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v CRAC, L 0-1 @ CRAC, D 0-0 v Vitória ES, W 3-1 @ Porto BA.
Vitória ES are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Rio Branco-VN, L 0-2 @ Ipatinga, D 0-0 v Vilavelhense, W 1-0 v Ipatinga.
Tombense hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Tombense 0-0 Vitória ES.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
