Al-Rayyan SC v UMM Salal: the model read
Al-Rayyan SC meet UMM Salal in the QSL Cup semi-finals at Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha. The model makes Al-Rayyan SC the most likely outcome at 48%, with the full read 48% AL-, 26% draw, 27% UMM.
The baseline ratings are close, 1627 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Al-Rayyan SC, 68% against 50%. Attacking output favors Al-Rayyan SC on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 79%, over 2.5 goals around 89%. Draw no bet leans Al-Rayyan SC at 64%; double chance reads Al-Rayyan SC or draw 73%, UMM Salal or draw 52%.
Al-Rayyan SC arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 @ Rochdale, L 0-3 v Al Wakrah, W 4-0 v Al-Arabi SC, W 3-0 @ Al Shabab.
UMM Salal are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 7 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Al-Gharafa, L 1-3 v Al Ahli Doha, L 0-3 @ Al-Rayyan SC, L 2-3 @ Al Shamal.
Al-Rayyan SC hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Al-Rayyan SC 3-0 UMM Salal.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
