Ferizaj overturned a narrow pre-match disadvantage to reach the cup final, defeating Llapi 2-1 in the semi-finals. The Lemeister model had entered the match with Llapi as marginal favourites, assigning them a 38 per cent win probability against 30 per cent for the away side, with a draw projected at 31 per cent. The visitors, however, delivered a result that contradicted the projection, securing victory through a first-half own goal and a late strike before conceding a consolation. The model had forecast a 1-0 home win, but the actual outcome saw Ferizaj score twice and hold off a late Llapi rally.
The opening goal arrived in the 28th minute and was recorded as an own goal credited to Ferizaj’s M. Hyseni. This type of goal typically arises from a defensive intervention that inadvertently finds the net, giving the away side a lead they would hold for the remainder of the half. For Llapi, falling behind from a non-attacking source will have been especially frustrating, as the model had anticipated them controlling the contest. The score at the break remained 1-0 to Ferizaj, leaving the home side needing to reorganise without the statistical data to indicate how they approached the deficit.
The match remained tense through the second period, with neither side able to alter the scoreline until the 87th minute. At that point, Ferizaj’s K. Shabani scored a normal goal to double the away side’s advantage. With no assist recorded, the goal appeared to come from open play, placing Llapi in a difficult position with time running out. The home side did pull a goal back in the 90th minute through B. Musolli, who scored a normal goal to make the final score 2-1. The strike came too late to change the outcome, as Ferizaj held on for the win through the remaining stoppage time.
The statistical picture is incomplete, as the match data does not provide any figures for possession, shots, expected goals, passing, corners, or cards. Similarly, no player match ratings are available for analysis. This limits the depth of tactical assessment, but the plain outcome tells the essential story: Ferizaj were clinical when it mattered, while Llapi could not convert their late pressure into an equaliser. The absence of recorded cards suggests the contest was played without major disciplinary incident, and with no substitutions made by either manager, the starting line-ups determined the result over the full 90 minutes.
For the three named players, the match had contrasting outcomes. M. Hyseni, whose own goal gave Ferizaj the lead, ultimately contributed to the win despite the misfortune of the opener. K. Shabani netted the decisive second goal late on, proving the difference in a tight contest. B. Musolli scored Llapi’s consolation, but his strike could not salvage the result. Without further statistical or rating data, their overall performances cannot be assessed beyond these contributions.
For Ferizaj, the result secures a place in the cup final, a significant achievement in any knockout competition. The away side defied the Lemeister model’s pre-match projection, which had favoured Llapi, and demonstrated resilience by scoring twice and absorbing late pressure. For Llapi, the defeat ends their cup run at the semi-final stage, a disappointment given the model’s forecast of a home win. The home side will reflect on an own goal that proved decisive, while Ferizaj will prepare for a final appearance built on two well-timed goals and the ability to hold a lead under pressure.
