Where the market is wrong on Nanjing City v Wuxi Wugou
Nanjing City meet Wuxi Wugou in the League One regular season - 24 at Wutaishan Stadium, Nanjing.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Wuxi Wugou, 40% against 30%. Attacking output favors Wuxi Wugou on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
Nanjing City arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 3 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Meizhou Kejia, L 0-2 @ Suzhou Dongwu, L 0-2 v Guangxi Hengchen, L 1-3 @ Shenzhen Juniors.
Wuxi Wugou are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Nantong Zhiyun, W 2-0 v Yanbian Longding, L 0-2 @ Hebei Kungfu, L 1-2 @ Dalian Huayi.
The market prices NAN at 41% implied. Our number sits apart on Wuxi Wugou: a 9.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 76 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
