Where the market is wrong on Suzhou Dongwu v Nanjing City
Suzhou Dongwu meet Nanjing City in the League One regular season - 22 at Suzhou Sports Centre, Suzhou.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Suzhou Dongwu, 48% against 33%. Attacking output favors Suzhou Dongwu on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.8 per match.
Suzhou Dongwu arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Nanjing City, W 4-3 @ Heilongjiang Lava Spring, D 3-3 @ Guangxi Hengchen, D 0-0 v Nantong Zhiyun.
Nanjing City are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Suzhou Dongwu, L 0-2 v Guangxi Hengchen, L 1-3 @ Shenzhen Juniors, D 1-1 v Heilongjiang Lava Spring.
The market prices SUZ at 49% implied. Our number sits apart on Nanjing City: a 7.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
