Where the market is wrong on Guangzhou E-Power v Changchun Yatai
Guangzhou E-Power meet Changchun Yatai in the League One regular season - 21 at Huangpu Sports Center, Guangzhou.
Guangzhou E-Power rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1719 to 1500. Recent form leans Guangzhou E-Power, 80% against 48%. Attacking output favors Guangzhou E-Power on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.6 per match.
Guangzhou E-Power arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 14 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Changchun Yatai, W 5-1 @ Meizhou Kejia, W 3-0 @ Wuxi Wugou, W 2-0 v Guangxi Hengchen.
Changchun Yatai are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Guangzhou E-Power, W 6-0 v Dongguan United, L 1-2 @ Shaanxi Union, L 1-2 @ Suzhou Dongwu.
The market prices GUA at 69% implied. Our number sits apart on Changchun Yatai: a 9.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
