Perth v Bayswater City

Perth meet Bayswater City in the Western Australia NPL regular season - 19 at Dorrien Gardens, undefined. The model makes Bayswater City the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 32% PER, 26% draw, 42% BAY.

The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1627, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 68%. Attacking output favors Bayswater City on expected goals, 2.4 to 2.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 89%, over 2.5 goals around 93%. Draw no bet leans Bayswater City at 57%; double chance reads Perth or draw 58%, Bayswater City or draw 68%.

Perth arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Bayswater City, D 3-3 v Western Knights, D 2-2 @ Dianella White Eagle, W 4-1 @ Armadale.

Bayswater City are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 11 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Perth, L 1-5 v Sydney, D 1-1 @ Fremantle City, W 3-0 v Perth RedStar.

Bayswater City hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Perth 0-2 Bayswater City.

The market prices PER at 38% implied. Our number sits apart on Bayswater City: a 4.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 63 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.