Vitoria v Jacuipense: the model read
Vitoria meet Jacuipense in the Baiano - 1 semi-finals at Barradao, Salvador. The model makes Vitoria the most likely outcome at 49%, with the full read 49% VIT, 28% draw, 22% JAC.
Vitoria rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1400. Recent form leans Vitoria, 65% against 33%. Attacking output favors Vitoria on expected goals, 1.8 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 44%, over 2.5 goals around 58%. Draw no bet leans Vitoria at 69%; double chance reads Vitoria or draw 78%, Jacuipense or draw 51%.
Vitoria arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Remo, D 0-0 @ Botafogo, W 1-0 v Vasco DA Gama, W 2-1 v Fortaleza EC.
Jacuipense are patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Treze, L 1-3 v Treze, D 1-1 v ASA, D 1-1 @ CSA.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
