Tubize v Excelsior Virton: the model read
Tubize meet Excelsior Virton in the First Amateur Division acff - 6 at Stade Leburton, Tubize. The model makes Excelsior Virton the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 32% TUB, 29% draw, 39% EXC.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1661, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Excelsior Virton, 70% against 57%. Attacking output favors Excelsior Virton on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 70%, over 2.5 goals around 71%. Draw no bet leans Excelsior Virton at 55%; double chance reads Tubize or draw 61%, Excelsior Virton or draw 68%.
Tubize arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Francs Borains, W 3-2 v Rochefort, D 2-2 @ Meux, D 0-0 @ Albert Quévy-Mons.
Excelsior Virton are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Progres Niederkorn, W 1-0 v US Hostert, W 2-0 @ Atert Bissen, L 1-3 @ RAAL La Louvière.
Tubize hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Tubize 2-1 Excelsior Virton.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
