Italy W v Sweden W: the model read
Italy W meet Sweden W in the World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe group stage - 1 at Stadio Oreste Granillo, Reggio Calabria.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Sweden W, 57% against 45%. Attacking output favors Sweden W on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Italy W arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 12 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Sweden W, W 3-0 v Serbia W, D 0-0 @ Denmark W, W 6-0 @ Serbia W.
Sweden W are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Italy W, L 1-2 @ Denmark W, W 1-0 v Serbia W, L 1-2 v Denmark W.
Sweden W hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 with 4 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sweden W 2-2 Italy W.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
