Kauno Žalgiris v Panevėžys: the model read
Kauno Žalgiris meet Panevėžys in the Super Cup final at Marijampoles futbolo arenos maniezas, Marijampole. The model makes Kauno Žalgiris the most likely outcome at 50%, with the full read 50% KAU, 28% draw, 22% PAN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1577 to 1458, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Kauno Žalgiris, 63% against 42%. Attacking output favors Kauno Žalgiris on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 58%. Draw no bet leans Kauno Žalgiris at 69%; double chance reads Kauno Žalgiris or draw 78%, Panevėžys or draw 50%.
Kauno Žalgiris arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 11 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ KI Klaksvik, W 4-0 v Šiauliai, W 3-2 @ Drita, W 3-0 v Panevėžys.
Panevėžys are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v FK Tobol Kostanay, L 0-3 @ Kauno Žalgiris, D 1-1 v Hegelmann Litauen, L 1-2 v Suduva Marijampole.
Kauno Žalgiris hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kauno Žalgiris 3-0 Panevėžys.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
