Heidelberg United v Sunshine Georgies

Heidelberg United meet Sunshine Georgies in the Victoria NPL regular season - 22 at Olympic Park Stadium, Melbourne. The model makes Heidelberg United the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% HEI, 30% draw, 30% SUN.

The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 53%. Attacking output favors Heidelberg United on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 55%, over 2.5 goals around 54%. Draw no bet leans Heidelberg United at 57%; double chance reads Heidelberg United or draw 70%, Sunshine Georgies or draw 60%.

Heidelberg United arrive steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Sunshine Georgies, W 3-0 @ Cumberland United, D 0-0 @ Altona Magic, D 2-2 @ Melbourne City II.

Sunshine Georgies are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Heidelberg United, W 1-0 v Melbourne City II, D 2-2 @ St. Albans Saints, D 1-1 v Oakleigh Cannons.

Heidelberg United hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Heidelberg United 0-0 Sunshine Georgies.

The market prices HEI at 62% implied. Our number sits apart on Sunshine Georgies: a 13.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.