Chuncheon v Ulsan Citizen

Chuncheon meet Ulsan Citizen in the K3 League regular season - 18. The model makes Ulsan Citizen the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 34% CHU, 30% draw, 36% ULS.

The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 45%. Attacking output favors Chuncheon on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.2 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 58%, over 2.5 goals around 54%. Draw no bet leans Ulsan Citizen at 51%; double chance reads Chuncheon or draw 64%, Ulsan Citizen or draw 66%.

Chuncheon arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Ulsan Citizen, D 1-1 @ Changwon City, L 1-2 @ Ulsan Citizen, D 3-3 v Yangpyeong.

Ulsan Citizen are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Chuncheon, W 4-2 v Seoul E-Land FC, W 1-0 v Yeoju Sejong, W 2-1 v Chuncheon.

Ulsan Citizen hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Chuncheon 2-1 Ulsan Citizen.

The market prices CHU at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on Ulsan Citizen: a 8.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 72 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.