Delfin SC v Aucas: the model read
Delfin SC meet Aucas in the Liga Pro regular season - 26 at Estadio Jocay, Manta.
Aucas rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1407. Recent form leans Aucas, 57% against 34%. Attacking output favors Aucas on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 30%, over 2.5 goals around 25%. Draw no bet leans Aucas at 59%; double chance reads Delfin SC or draw 61%, Aucas or draw 73%.
Delfin SC arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Mushuc Runa SC, L 0-1 v Aucas, W 1-0 @ Cde Juventud Italiana, L 2-3 @ Independiente del Valle.
Aucas are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ LDU de Quito, W 1-0 @ Delfin SC, L 0-1 v LDU de Quito, D 1-1 @ La Unión.
Aucas hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Delfin SC 0-1 Aucas.
The market prices DEL at 30% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
