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Ykkönen · Group Stage · Finland

Rops v JJK

4-0Tempo final· Keskuskentta, Rovaniemi

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Análise da partidaResumo pré-jogo

Where the market is wrong on Rops v JJK

Rops meet JJK in the Ykkönen group stage at Keskuskentta, Rovaniemi. The model makes Rops the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 43% ROP, 27% draw, 30% JJK.

The baseline ratings are close, 1638 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Rops, 70% against 53%. Attacking output favors JJK on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 77%, over 2.5 goals around 83%. Draw no bet leans Rops at 59%; double chance reads Rops or draw 70%, JJK or draw 57%.

Rops arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v JJK, D 1-1 @ KPV-j, W 2-0 @ Inter Turku II, W 4-3 v PKKU.

JJK are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 16 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Rops, L 1-3 v FC jazz, D 4-4 v KuPS Akatemia, L 0-1 @ TPV.

JJK hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Rops 4-0 JJK.

The market prices ROP at 51% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Rops

DWWDW11-6-3

Gols marcados 1.95 · Gols sofridos 1.10 · Clean sheets 40% · Ambos marcam 50%

  • WCasaJJK4-0
  • DForaKPV-j1-1
  • WForaInter Turku II2-0
  • WCasaPKKU4-3
  • DCasaSalPa2-2

JJK

WLDLL8-5-7

Gols marcados 2.15 · Gols sofridos 1.80 · Clean sheets 15% · Ambos marcam 70%

  • LForaRops0-4
  • LCasaFC jazz1-3
  • DCasaKuPS Akatemia4-4
  • LForaTPV0-1
  • WCasaInter Turku II11-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

RopsrecordJJK
2
3
5 draws

Goals

17-18

for each

Avg goals

3.5

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

70%

3+ goals

Rops

Recent
WDLLDL
Wins 2Goals 17-18

Biggest win 4-0

JJK

Recent
LDWWDW
Wins 3Goals 18-17

Biggest win 5-0

  • Rops4-0JJK
  • JJK3-3Rops
  • Rops1-2JJK
  • JJK5-0Rops
  • JJK0-0Rops
  • Rops2-3JJK
  • Rops2-2JJK
  • JJK2-2Rops
  • Rops2-0JJK
  • JJK1-1Rops

Managers

J. Alamäki

Head coach

In charge since 2024

B. Page

Scotland · 45

In charge since 2024 · 8 clubs managed

  • SJK Akatemia2021–2023
  • SJK2019–2019
  • SJK Akatemia2019–2019
  • SJK2017–2017

Apenas dados reais: resultados recentes, confronto direto e odds de mercado. Nenhum resultado do modelo é mostrado para times sem priores do Lemeister.