Xorazm v Sogdiana: the model read
Xorazm meet Sogdiana in the Super League regular season - 21 at Xorazm Stadium, Urgench.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Sogdiana, 55% against 40%. Attacking output favors Sogdiana on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.8 per match.
Xorazm arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 3 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Sogdiana, L 0-1 @ Olmaliq, L 0-1 @ Andijan, L 1-3 v Lokomotiv.
Sogdiana are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Xorazm, W 5-2 v Mash'al, W 2-0 v Jayxun, L 0-3 @ Neftchi.
The market prices XOR at 31% implied. Our number sits apart on Sogdiana: a 2.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 59 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
