Where the market is wrong on Sporting KC II v St. Louis City II
Sporting KC II meet St. Louis City II in the MLS Next Pro group stage at Swope Soccer Village, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans St. Louis City II, 45% against 33%. Attacking output favors Sporting KC II on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Sporting KC II arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Vancouver Whitecaps II, L 0-4 @ Tacoma Defiance, L 1-2 @ Los Angeles FC II, D 2-2 v Colorado Rapids II.
St. Louis City II are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v North Texas, D 2-2 v Houston Dynamo FC II, W 2-0 @ The Town, D 0-0 @ Colorado Rapids II.
St. Louis City II hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sporting KC II 0-2 St. Louis City II.
The market prices SPO at 22% implied. Our number sits apart on Sporting KC II: a 8.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
