Union San Felipe v Deportes Santa Cruz: the model read
Union San Felipe meet Deportes Santa Cruz in the Primera B regular season - 23 at Estadio Municipal de San Felipe, San Felipe. The model makes Deportes Santa Cruz the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 31% UNI, 31% draw, 39% DEP.
The baseline ratings are close, 1432 to 1407, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 39% against 37%. Attacking output favors Deportes Santa Cruz on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 49%. Draw no bet leans Deportes Santa Cruz at 56%; double chance reads Union San Felipe or draw 61%, Deportes Santa Cruz or draw 69%.
Union San Felipe arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Santiago Wanderers, D 1-1 v Union La Calera, L 0-2 @ Universidad de Chile, W 2-0 @ Union La Calera.
Deportes Santa Cruz are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 @ Cobreloa, L 2-3 @ Palestino, W 2-1 v A. Italiano, D 0-0 v Palestino.
Union San Felipe hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Deportes Santa Cruz 1-3 Union San Felipe.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
