Hwaseong v Daegu FC

Hwaseong meet Daegu FC in the K League 2 regular season - 20 at Hwaseong Stadium, Hwaseong. The model makes Daegu FC the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 35% HWA, 28% draw, 36% DAE.

The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 60%. Attacking output favors Daegu FC on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 74%, over 2.5 goals around 75%. Draw no bet leans Daegu FC at 51%; double chance reads Hwaseong or draw 64%, Daegu FC or draw 65%.

Hwaseong arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 14 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 @ Jeju United FC, W 3-2 v Asan Mugunghwa, W 3-0 @ Yongin City, W 4-3 v Yangpyeong.

Daegu FC are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Suwon City FC, D 1-1 @ Gimpo Citizen, L 0-1 v Siheung Citizen, W 3-2 v Seongnam FC.

Daegu FC hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Daegu FC 1-0 Hwaseong.

The market prices HWA at 28% implied. Our number sits apart on Hwaseong: a 7.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.