Where the market is wrong on Kansas City W v Denver Summit W
Kansas City W meet Denver Summit W in the NWSL Women group stage at CPKC Stadium, Kansas City.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 53%. Attacking output favors Kansas City W on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.8 per match.
Kansas City W arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Denver Summit W, L 0-2 @ San Diego Wave W, D 2-2 v Orlando Pride W, W 2-1 @ Bay FC W.
Denver Summit W are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 11 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Kansas City W, W 2-1 v Seattle Reign FC W, D 2-2 v Bay FC W, D 3-3 @ Angel City W.
The market prices KAN at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
