Gimcheon Sangmu FC v Daejeon Citizen

Gimcheon Sangmu FC meet Daejeon Citizen in the K League 1 regular season - 20 at Gimcheon Stadium, Gimcheon. The model makes Daejeon Citizen the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 29% GIM, 33% draw, 39% DAE.

The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 43%. Attacking output favors Daejeon Citizen on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 34%, over 2.5 goals around 28%. Draw no bet leans Daejeon Citizen at 57%; double chance reads Gimcheon Sangmu FC or draw 61%, Daejeon Citizen or draw 71%.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Gwangju FC, L 0-2 @ Gangwon FC, D 1-1 v Bucheon FC 1995, D 1-1 v Jeju United FC.

Daejeon Citizen are patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Jeonbuk Motors, D 2-2 v Ulsan Hyundai FC, D 0-0 @ Jeju United FC, D 2-2 v Bucheon FC 1995.

Daejeon Citizen hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Daejeon Citizen 1-1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC.

The market prices GIM at 33% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.