Senegal 
EgyptSenegal v Egypt: the model read
Senegal meet Egypt in the Africa Cup of Nations semi-finals at Stade Ibn-Batouta, Tanger.
The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 63%. Attacking output favors Senegal on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.5 per match.
Senegal arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Ethiopia, D 1-1 @ Mozambique, L 2-3 @ Belgium, W 5-0 v Iraq.
Egypt are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 @ South Sudan, D 0-0 v Angola, L 2-3 @ Argentina, D 1-1 @ Australia.
Senegal hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Senegal 1-0 Egypt.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
