Al Tadhamon v Al Nasar: the model read
Al Tadhamon meet Al Nasar in the Crown Prince Cup quarter-finals. The model makes Al Nasar the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 26% AL , 29% draw, 44% AL .
The baseline ratings are close, 1480 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Al Nasar, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors Al Nasar on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 50%, over 2.5 goals around 55%. Draw no bet leans Al Nasar at 63%; double chance reads Al Tadhamon or draw 56%, Al Nasar or draw 74%.
Al Tadhamon arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Al Shabab, D 1-1 v Al Nasar, W 1-0 @ Al Jahra, W 1-0 v Al Fahaheel.
Al Nasar are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Al Jahra, D 1-1 @ Al Tadhamon, W 3-0 @ Al Shabab, L 1-2 v Kazma.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Al Tadhamon 1-1 Al Nasar.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output