Where the market is wrong on Deportivo Moron v Godoy Cruz
Deportivo Moron meet Godoy Cruz in the Primera Nacional regular season - 30 at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano, Moron.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 63%. Attacking output favors Deportivo Moron on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.5 per match.
Deportivo Moron arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Godoy Cruz, W 2-1 @ Racing Cordoba, W 2-1 @ Colon Santa Fe, W 2-1 v San Miguel.
Godoy Cruz are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Deportivo Moron, W 2-0 v Colon Santa Fe, W 2-1 @ San Miguel, W 3-0 v San Telmo.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Deportivo Moron 1-2 Godoy Cruz.
The market prices DEP at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on Godoy Cruz: a 7.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
