Where the market is wrong on Deportivo Moron v San Miguel
Deportivo Moron meet San Miguel in the Primera Nacional regular season - 27 at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano, Moron.
Deportivo Moron rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1420. Recent form leans Deportivo Moron, 63% against 40%. Attacking output favors Deportivo Moron on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.8 per match.
Deportivo Moron arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v San Miguel, D 0-0 @ Central Norte, D 2-2 @ San Telmo, W 2-0 v Almagro.
San Miguel are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Deportivo Moron, L 0-3 @ Chaco For Ever, L 1-2 v Colon Santa Fe, W 2-0 v Colegiales.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Deportivo Moron 2-1 San Miguel.
The market prices DEP at 52% implied. Our number sits apart on San Miguel: a 5.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
