Where the market is wrong on Kongsvinger II v Fløya
Kongsvinger II meet Fløya in the 3. Division - Girone 5 regular season - 19.
Fløya rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1489. Recent form leans Fløya, 68% against 45%. Attacking output favors Fløya on expected goals, 2.9 to 1.9 per match.
Kongsvinger II arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 v Fløya, L 1-3 @ Skjervøy, W 2-1 v Ulfstind, L 0-6 @ Alta.
Fløya are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 17 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 @ Kongsvinger II, D 2-2 v Skjetten, L 2-3 @ Harstad, W 5-3 v Junkeren.
The market prices KON at 17% implied. Our number sits apart on Kongsvinger II: a 11.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output