Where the market is wrong on Sirius v BK Hacken
Sirius meet BK Hacken in the Allsvenskan regular season - 18 at Studenternas IP, Uppsala.
Sirius rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1558. Recent form leans Sirius, 75% against 60%. Attacking output favors Sirius on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 80%, over 2.5 goals around 87%. Draw no bet leans Sirius at 61%; double chance reads Sirius or draw 71%, BK Hacken or draw 55%.
Sirius arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 11 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v BK Hacken, L 3-4 @ Mjallby AIF, D 2-2 v IF Brommapojkarna, W 2-0 @ Halmstad.
BK Hacken are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Sirius, W 1-0 v Halmstad, L 0-3 @ Hammarby FF, D 1-1 v Kalmar FF.
BK Hacken hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sirius 0-3 BK Hacken.
The market prices SIR at 53% implied. Our number sits apart on BK Hacken: a 4.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
