Where the market is wrong on Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto v Atletico Tucuman
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto meet Atletico Tucuman in the Liga Profesional Argentina clausura - 5 at Antonio Candini, Rio Cuarto.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Atletico Tucuman, 50% against 20%. Attacking output favors Atletico Tucuman on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 12%, over 2.5 goals around 13%. Draw no bet leans Atletico Tucuman at 68%; double chance reads Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto or draw 57%, Atletico Tucuman or draw 80%.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 1 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v San Lorenzo, L 0-1 v Atletico Tucuman, L 1-2 @ Independ. Rivadavia, D 0-0 v Banfield.
Atletico Tucuman are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 6 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Instituto Cordoba, W 1-0 @ Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto, W 4-0 v Independiente, L 1-2 v Sarmiento Junin.
Atletico Tucuman hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0-1 Atletico Tucuman.
The market prices EST at 27% implied. Our number sits apart on Atletico Tucuman: a 3.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 62 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output