Gimnasia L.P. v River Plate

Gimnasia L.P. meet River Plate in the Liga Profesional Argentina clausura - 2 at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La Plata. The model makes River Plate the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 30% GIM, 32% draw, 38% RIV.

The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 65%. Attacking output favors River Plate on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 40%, over 2.5 goals around 35%. Draw no bet leans River Plate at 56%; double chance reads Gimnasia L.P. or draw 62%, River Plate or draw 70%.

Gimnasia L.P. arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Racing Club, W 3-1 @ Dinamo Makhachkala, D 1-1 @ Zenit, L 0-2 @ River Plate.

River Plate are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Barracas Central, L 1-3 v Aldosivi, D 2-2 @ Flamengo, W 3-0 v Blooming.

River Plate hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: River Plate 2-0 Gimnasia L.P..

The market prices GIM at 24% implied. Our number sits apart on Gimnasia L.P.: a 6.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.