UCD v Treaty United: the model read
UCD meet Treaty United in the First Division regular season - 26 at UCD Bowl, Dublin. The model makes UCD the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 45% UCD, 29% draw, 26% TRE.
UCD rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1466. Recent form leans UCD, 60% against 45%. Attacking output favors UCD on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 53%, over 2.5 goals around 59%. Draw no bet leans UCD at 63%; double chance reads UCD or draw 74%, Treaty United or draw 55%.
UCD arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 5-2 v Cork City, W 2-1 @ Treaty United, L 0-6 @ Bray Wanderers, L 1-2 @ Longford Town.
Treaty United are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Athlone Town, L 1-2 v UCD, W 1-0 @ Finn Harps, W 2-1 v Kerry.
UCD hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Treaty United 1-2 UCD.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
