Vitoria v Bahia: the model read
Vitoria meet Bahia in the Serie A regular season - 24 at Barradao, Salvador.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 50%. Attacking output favors Bahia on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.
Vitoria arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 2 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Atletico-MG, L 0-1 @ Vasco DA Gama, L 0-2 v Bahia, W 1-0 v Botafogo.
Bahia are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Internacional, W 2-0 @ Vitoria, D 3-3 @ Chapecoense-sc, D 0-0 v Vasco DA Gama.
Bahia hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Vitoria 0-2 Bahia.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
