Cerro v Boston River: the model read
Cerro meet Boston River in the Primera División - Clausura clausura - 15 at Estadio Luis Troccoli, Montevideo. The model makes Boston River the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 30% CER, 33% draw, 37% BOS.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 35% against 35%. Attacking output favors Boston River on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 37%, over 2.5 goals around 31%. Draw no bet leans Boston River at 55%; double chance reads Cerro or draw 63%, Boston River or draw 70%.
Cerro arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Racing Montevideo, W 2-1 @ Liverpool Montevideo, L 0-1 v Penarol, L 0-2 @ Cerro Largo.
Boston River are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 1 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Penarol, D 0-0 v Central Espanol, D 1-1 @ Defensor Sporting, L 0-1 v Liverpool Montevideo.
Boston River hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Boston River 4-1 Cerro.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
