Iraq Iraq v Indonesia: the model read
Iraq meet Indonesia in the World Cup - Qualification Asia round 4 - 2 at King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah. The model makes Indonesia the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 29% IRA, 31% draw, 40% IND.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1541, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 53%. Attacking output favors Indonesia on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 48%, over 2.5 goals around 46%. Draw no bet leans Indonesia at 58%; double chance reads Iraq or draw 60%, Indonesia or draw 71%.
Iraq arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 2 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-5 @ Senegal, L 0-3 @ France, L 1-4 v Norway, L 0-2 v Venezuela.
Indonesia are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 13 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 v Cambodia, W 1-0 v Mozambique, W 3-0 v Oman, L 0-1 v Bulgaria.
Iraq hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Iraq 1-0 Indonesia.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
