Afghanistan v India: the model read
Afghanistan meet India in the CAFA Nations Cup group stage - 3 at Hisor Central Stadium, Hisor. The model makes India the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 24% AFG, 35% draw, 41% IND.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans India, 39% against 25%. Attacking output favors India on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 21%, over 2.5 goals around 19%. Draw no bet leans India at 63%; double chance reads Afghanistan or draw 59%, India or draw 76%.
Afghanistan arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 2 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Pakistan, L 0-2 v Pakistan, D 0-0 v Bangladesh U23, W 1-0 @ Maldives.
India are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Tajikistan, L 1-3 @ Tajikistan, L 0-1 v Zimbabwe, L 0-2 @ Jamaica.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Afghanistan 0-0 India.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
