Rhode Island v Sacramento Republic: the model read
Rhode Island meet Sacramento Republic in the USL League One Cup semi-finals at Centreville Bank Stadium, Pawtucket, Rhode Island.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 57%. Attacking output favors Rhode Island on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 41%, over 2.5 goals around 34%. Draw no bet leans Rhode Island at 52%; double chance reads Rhode Island or draw 67%, Sacramento Republic or draw 65%.
Rhode Island arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Monterey Bay, L 0-2 @ Tampa Bay Rowdies, W 2-0 v Colorado Springs, L 0-1 @ Birmingham Legion.
Sacramento Republic are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Phoenix Rising, W 1-0 v Lexington, D 0-0 @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds, L 0-1 @ FC Tulsa.
Sacramento Republic hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sacramento Republic 2-1 Rhode Island.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
