Colima v Ensenada: the model read
Colima meet Ensenada in the Liga Premier Serie A apertura - 22 at Estadio Olímpico Universitario de Colima, Colima. The model makes Colima the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% COL, 29% draw, 33% ENS.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 23% against 23%. Attacking output favors Ensenada on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 64%, over 2.5 goals around 63%. Draw no bet leans Colima at 53%; double chance reads Colima or draw 67%, Ensenada or draw 63%.
Colima arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v Tecos, W 3-1 @ Acatlan, L 0-2 @ Guerreros, D 0-0 v Mineros de Fresnillo.
Ensenada are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 8 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ UA Zacatecas, L 0-1 v Acatlan, L 0-6 @ Durango, W 6-1 v Reboceros La Piedad.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Colima 4-1 Ensenada.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output