Vis Pesaro were beaten 3-2 at home by Sambenedettese despite leading entering stoppage time, a result driven by a chaotic final three minutes in which the visitors scored twice. The Lemeister model had rated the match as a finely balanced contest, giving Vis Pesaro a 34 per cent win probability and Sambenedettese 32 per cent, with the draw at 34 per cent. The actual outcome defied those narrow projections through a dramatic late twist that flipped the expected points total on its head.
Sambenedettese took the lead in the 20th minute through A. Zini, who scored a normal goal without an assist. That advantage held for 33 minutes until the 53rd minute, when L. Paganini equalised for Vis Pesaro, also an unassisted normal goal. The home side then appeared to have snatched victory deep into regulation time when Paganini scored again with a normal goal in the 90th minute, making it 2-1. But the match was far from over, as a remarkable stoppage-time sequence unfolded.
In a breathtaking turn, E. Lonardo scored two normal goals for Sambenedettese, both in the 90th minute, completing a turnaround that left Vis Pesaro with nothing. The speed of the collapse was extreme: from leading 2-1 to losing 2-3 in a matter of moments. This kind of late double is rare in Serie C Girone B, and it underscores a fundamental fragility in the Vis Pesaro defence that was not reflected in the earlier flow of the game. The discipline of both sides unravelled in the closing stages, with a flurry of cards that tells a story of fraying composure.
Vis Pesaro received four yellow cards, including one for D. Tonucci in the 46th minute and one for R. Giovannini in the 56th minute, suggesting an aggressive defensive approach from early in the second half. L. Paganini also went into the book in the 97th minute, and a fourth unnamed home player was cautioned in the 100th minute. Sambenedettese saw A. Zini sent off with a red card in the 100th minute, his dismissal coming just after the two late goals and potentially as a reaction to the intensity of the finish. E. Lonardo collected a yellow in the 101st minute, meaning the visitors ended the match with a numerical advantage despite the red card, as the game had effectively already been decided.
Without detailed shot or possession data, the match story is told primarily through the goal timings and card counts. Vis Pesaro's two goals, both from Paganini, were not enough to compensate for a defence that conceded three times, including two in stoppage time. The home side used five substitutes to Sambenedettese's four, suggesting both benches were emptied in search of advantage, yet the visitors made the more decisive impact from their changes. The absence of any credited assists across all five goals indicates direct finishes, though no further detail is available on their nature.
The result carries significant weight in the Serie C Girone B context. Vis Pesaro, entering as the slight favourite according to the Lemeister model, will rue the defensive lapses in the dying moments that cost them what would have been a valuable home victory. The three points dropped at the Tonino Benelli could prove costly in a tight relegation battle or mid-table race, depending on the standings. For Sambenedettese, the three points are a credit to their persistence, coming from behind twice to win on the road against a team that was projected to have a narrow edge. The red card for Zini will mean a suspension, while the momentum from such a dramatic win could be valuable as the season reaches its climax. The eight minutes of stoppage time and the flurry of six cards, five yellow and one red, point to a match played at high intensity until the final whistle, with the visitors showing the greater resolve when it mattered most.
