Excelsior '31 v Staphorst: the model read
Excelsior '31 meet Staphorst in the Derde Divisie group a - 33 at Sportpark De Koerbelt, Rijssen.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Excelsior '31, 50% against 35%. Attacking output favors Excelsior '31 on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 75%, over 2.5 goals around 81%. Draw no bet leans Excelsior '31 at 60%; double chance reads Excelsior '31 or draw 71%, Staphorst or draw 57%.
Excelsior '31 arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 14 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 @ Staphorst, W 4-0 v Eemdijk, W 2-1 @ URK, W 3-1 v Staphorst.
Staphorst are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 v Excelsior '31, D 2-2 @ Dovo, W 2-1 v ROHDA Raalte, L 1-3 @ Excelsior '31.
Excelsior '31 hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Staphorst 2-4 Excelsior '31.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
